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As Vladimir Putin prepares to return to the presidency in the 2012 elections, the prospects for Russia's future are unclear. Russia in 2020 brings together leading experts to analyze the possible scenarios for Russia's development in the next decade and the risks that lie ahead.

Despite Putin's eminent return, the authors believe that the so-called Putin Era is over. This does not mean that Putin will soon give up power, but the political and economic system he created is incapable of dealing with Russia's rapidly changing conditions. Crises are likely unavoidable unless Russia changes and modernizes.

Table of Contents

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  1. Front cover
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  1. Title Page, Copyright Page
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  1. Contents
  2. pp. v-viii
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  1. Foreword
  2. Thomas Carothers
  3. pp. ix-x
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  1. Acknowledgments
  2. pp. xi-xii
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  1. Introduction: Russia in 2020—Development Scenarios
  2. Maria Lipman, Nikolay Petrov
  3. pp. xiii-xviii
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  1. Part I. Russian in the World
  2. pp. 1-2
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  1. Chapter 1: Russia and the World
  2. Thomas Graham
  3. pp. 3-24
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  1. Chapter 2: Russia in World-Systems Perspective
  2. Georgi Derluguian, Immanuel Wallerstein
  3. pp. 25-44
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  1. Chapter 3: Russia's Foreign Policy Outlook
  2. Dmitri Trenin
  3. pp. 45-66
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  1. Chapter 4: Russia's Place in the World of Unintended Consequences, or Murphy's Law and Order
  2. Fyodor Lukyanov
  3. pp. 67-88
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  1. Chapter 5: Russia and the New "Transitional Europe"
  2. Arkady Moshes
  3. pp. 89-108
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  1. Chapter 6: The South Caucasus in 2020
  2. Thomas de Waal
  3. pp. 109-122
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  1. Part II. Policical Economy and Economics
  2. pp. 123-124
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  1. Chapter 7. The "Third Cycle": Is Russian Headed Back to the Future
  2. Kirill Rogov
  3. pp. 125-148
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  1. Chapter 8: Russia's Political Economy: The Next Decade
  2. Daniel Treisman
  3. pp. 149-164
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  1. Chapter 9: The Russian Economy Through 2020: The Challenge of Managing Rent Addiction
  2. Clifford G. Gaddy, Barry W. Ickes
  3. pp. 165-186
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  1. Chapter 10: The Russian Economy in Limbo
  2. Vladimir Milov
  3. pp. 187-212
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  1. Part III. Political System
  2. pp. 213-214
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  1. Chapter 11: Institution Building and "Institutional Traps" in Russian Politics
  2. Vladimir Gelman
  3. pp. 215-232
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  1. Chapter 12: Transition as a Political Institution: Toward 2020
  2. Richard Sakwa
  3. pp. 233-254
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  1. Chapter 13: Can the Machine Come to Life? Prospects for Russia's Party System in 2020
  2. Henry Hale
  3. pp. 255-276
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  1. Chapter 14: Scenarios for the Evolution of the Russian Political Party System
  2. Boris Makarenko
  3. pp. 277-300
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  1. Part IV. State
  2. pp. 301-302
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  1. Chapter 15: The Excessive Role of a Weak Russian State
  2. Nikolay Petrov
  3. pp. 303-328
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  1. Chapter 16: Center-Periphery Relations
  2. Robert Orttung
  3. pp. 329-348
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  1. Chapter 17: The Continuing Revolution in Russian Military Affairs: Toward 2020
  2. Pavel K. Baev
  3. pp. 349-370
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  1. Chapter 18: The Armed Forces in 2020: Modern or Soviet?
  2. Alexander Golts
  3. pp. 371-392
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  1. Part V. Regions
  2. pp. 393-394
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  1. Chapter 19: Russia's Regions and Cities: Scenarios for 2020
  2. Natalia Zubarevich
  3. pp. 395-416
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  1. Chapter 20: Political Systems in the Russian Regions in 2020
  2. Alexandr Kynev
  3. pp. 417-434
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  1. Chapter 21: 2020: The Last Chance for the North Caucasus?
  2. Alexey Malashenko
  3. pp. 435-456
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  1. Part VI. Society and Civil Society
  2. pp. 457-458
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  1. Chapter 22: Society, Politics, and the Search for Community in Russia
  2. Samuel A. Greene
  3. pp. 459-476
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  1. Chapter 23: The Inertia of Passive Adaptation
  2. Lev Gudkov
  3. pp. 477-498
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  1. Chapter 24: The Nomenklatura and the Elite
  2. Nikolay Petrov
  3. pp. 499-530
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  1. Chapter 25: The Evolution of Civic Activeness
  2. Jens Siegert
  3. pp. 531-550
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  1. Part VII. Ideology and Culture
  2. pp. 551-552
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  1. Chapter 26: Russia and the New "Russian World"
  2. Igor Zevelev
  3. pp. 553-572
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  1. Chapter 27: Society and the State on the Internet: A Call for Change
  2. Alexey Sidorenko
  3. pp. 573-592
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  1. Conclusions
  2. Maria Lipman, Nikolay Petrov
  3. pp. 593-614
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  1. Index
  2. pp. 615-680
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  1. Contributors, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Back Cover
  2. pp. 681-685
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