Intermediate goods and weak links in the theory of economic development

CI Jones - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011 - aeaweb.org
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011aeaweb.org
What explains the enormous differences in incomes across countries? This paper returns to
two old ideas: linkages and complementarity. First, linkages between firms through
intermediate goods deliver a multiplier similar to the one associated with capital in a
neoclassical growth model. Because the intermediate goods share of output is about one-
half, this multiplier is substantial. Second, just as a chain is only as strong as its weakest link,
problems along a production chain can sharply reduce output under complementarity …
Abstract
What explains the enormous differences in incomes across countries? This paper returns to two old ideas: linkages and complementarity. First, linkages between firms through intermediate goods deliver a multiplier similar to the one associated with capital in a neoclassical growth model. Because the intermediate goods share of output is about one-half, this multiplier is substantial. Second, just as a chain is only as strong as its weakest link, problems along a production chain can sharply reduce output under complementarity. These forces considerably amplify distortions to the allocation of resources, bringing us closer to understanding large income differences across countries.(JEL: D57, E23, O1O, O47)
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