Macroeconomics and reality

CA Sims - Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 1980 - JSTOR
Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 1980JSTOR
Existing strategies for econometric analysis related to macroeconomics are subject to a
number of serious objections, some recently formulated, some old. These objections are
summarized in this paper, and it is argued that taken together they make it unlikely that
macroeconomic models are in fact over identified, as the existing statistical theory usually
assumes. The implications of this conclusion are explored, and an example of econometric
work in a non-standard style, taking account of the objections to the standard style, is …
Existing strategies for econometric analysis related to macroeconomics are subject to a number of serious objections, some recently formulated, some old. These objections are summarized in this paper, and it is argued that taken together they make it unlikely that macroeconomic models are in fact over identified, as the existing statistical theory usually assumes. The implications of this conclusion are explored, and an example of econometric work in a non-standard style, taking account of the objections to the standard style, is presented.
JSTOR