Testing for a unit root in time series regression

PCB Phillips, P Perron - biometrika, 1988 - academic.oup.com
biometrika, 1988academic.oup.com
This paper proposes new tests for detecting the presence of a unit root in quite general time
series models. Our approach is nonparametric with respect to nuisance parameters and
thereby allows for a very wide class of weakly dependent and possibly heterogeneously
distributed data. The tests accommodate models with a fitted drift and a time trend so that
they may be used to discriminate between unit root nonstationarity and stationarity about a
deterministic trend. The limiting distributions of the statistics are obtained under both the unit …
Abstract
This paper proposes new tests for detecting the presence of a unit root in quite general time series models. Our approach is nonparametric with respect to nuisance parameters and thereby allows for a very wide class of weakly dependent and possibly heterogeneously distributed data. The tests accommodate models with a fitted drift and a time trend so that they may be used to discriminate between unit root nonstationarity and stationarity about a deterministic trend. The limiting distributions of the statistics are obtained under both the unit root null and a sequence of local alternatives. The latter noncentral distribution theory yields local asymptotic power functions for the tests and facilitates comparisons with alternative procedures due to Dickey & Fuller. Simulations are reported on the performance of the new tests in finite samples.
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