Rational deterrence in an imperfect world

B Nalebuff - World Politics, 1991 - cambridge.org
World Politics, 1991cambridge.org
This paper considers the role of reputation and signaling in establishing deterrence. The
cost-benefit calculations of rational deterrence are extended to allow for incomplete or
imperfect information. The author uses requirements of a sequential equilibrium (and its
refinements) to impose consistency restrictions on how strategic players signal a reputation
for strength. This provides a way to interpret potentially misleading reputations and offers a
resolution to the reputation paradox of Jervis.
This paper considers the role of reputation and signaling in establishing deterrence. The cost-benefit calculations of rational deterrence are extended to allow for incomplete or imperfect information. The author uses requirements of a sequential equilibrium (and its refinements) to impose consistency restrictions on how strategic players signal a reputation for strength. This provides a way to interpret potentially misleading reputations and offers a resolution to the reputation paradox of Jervis.
Cambridge University Press