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APPENDIX B Full Model Results from Chapter 4 Note: In all of the tables in this appendix, with the exception of the county-level models, we report only the z-scores for all control variables. This is meant to minimize the clutter in the tables. It also conveys the basic information that is most important to the reader: statistical significance. Coefficient estimates for all of the control variables are available on request from the authors. 162 Î Appendix B: Full Model Results from Chapter 4 TABLE B.1 Full Model Results from Table 4.1, Presidential General Election 2004 2000 Vote Kerry Bush Vote Gore Gore Bush Bush Kerry favorability favorability Gore likes dislikes likes dislikes Initial Kerry (Gore) vote 1.99 5.65 Initial Bush vote −2.2 −5.19 Initial favorability 8.24 7.29 Kerry (Gore) ad exposure 1.96 2.63 −1.02 0.03 2.62 1.59 0.35 2.92 Bush exposure −2.96 −2.65 1.21 0.44 −1.68 −0.5 0.63 −1.54 Age −2.48 −1.24 0.88 −0.35 1.76 1.41 1.32 2.49 Age-squared 2.3 1.64 −0.74 0.35 −1.42 1.35 −0.81 −2.51 Education 1.34 0.72 1.02 1.28 5.38 5.22 3.23 7.06 South −0.55 0.55 2.45 0.14 −0.06 0.3 3.5 −2.1 Married −1.13 −0.12 0.5 −0.04 −0.76 −1.11 0.81 −1.02 African American 1.16 0.65 −0.98 2.45 −1.26 −1.03 −0.56 −0.67 Female −2.31 −1.37 0.71 0.93 0.95 −1.47 0.36 −2.45 Weak Democrat 1.14 0.25 −0.76 1.15 2.75 −2.19 −1.93 1.13 Weak Republican −3.7 −0.37 1.34 −2.4 −2.12 0.08 2.94 −3.38 Strong Democrat 2.4 3.63 −1.25 1.55 6.73 −5.24 −4.31 3.97 Strong Republican −2.44 −0.38 3.6 −4.19 −2.99 3.9 5.04 −3.13 Conservative (2000); liberal (2004) 1.79 2.02 −0.89 −2.23 −1.64 1.6 5.25 −3.09 Economic assessment −0.27 −0.55 0.36 −0.43 −2.67 1.76 −0.9 −1.04 Appendix B: Full Model Results from Chapter 4 D 163 Bush visits 1.94 1.48 −1.25 −0.93 0.67 −0.53 −2.53 1 Kerry (Gore) visits −0.79 0.73 1.7 1.16 0.52 −1.12 −1.34 0.83 Bush (Clinton) job approval −5.94 −2.9 8.89 3.3 7.95 −6.71 −6.66 4.6 California 2 1.58 −0.73 −0.45 1.65 Constant 4.64 −0.14 −7 −4.38 −5.11 −6.16 N 922 986 1,000 783 1,055 1,055 1,055 1,055 Model estimation logit ordered ordered logit GLM GLM GLM GLM probit probit Survey: 2000 ANES and 2004 BYU–UW panel study. Entries are z-scores. Th ere is no constant for favorability models because the ordered probit model estimates thresholds, which are not shown here. A California binary measure is included in the 2000 models to account for an unexpected ad buy by George Bush in the fi nal weeks of the election. 164 Î Appendix B: Full Model Results from Chapter 4 TABLE B.2 Full Model Results for Table 4.2, 2000 Presidential Primary Vote Vote Bush McCain Gore Bradley Bush Gore favorability favorability favorability favorability Initial Bush (Gore) vote 5.27 8.33 Initial McCain (Bradley) vote −6.43 −4.15 Initial favorability 10.24 14.72 12.25 14.15 Bush (Gore) ad exposure −0.06 3.02 1.04 0.81 0.76 1.6 McCain (Bradley) ad exposure 0.18 −2.17 −0.77 −0.88 −1.17 −0.11 Clinton favorability −0.46 1.23 −6.3 −0.26 7.74 −1.89 Education −2.51 −0.9 −2.96 0.33 0.25 3.38 Age −0.22 −1.94 −0.69 0.95 −2.57 −1.67 Age-squared −0.03 2.05 0.38 −0.61 2.43 1.87 Female 0.49 −1.82 −3.01 −0.61 0.28 0.29 Georgia 5.85 −1.49 −2.98 −4.54 −1.56...

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Additional Information

ISBN
9781439903346
Related ISBN
9781439903339
MARC Record
OCLC
719377497
Pages
186
Launched on MUSE
2012-01-01
Language
English
Open Access
No
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