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8.2. Selected Polls in Arkansas, Presidential Race 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .125 8.3. Results of the 2008 Arkansas Presidential and Congressional Elections (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .126 8.4. Republican Vote in Arkansas, 2000, 2004, and 2008 by County (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .127 8.5. Poll Results of Arkansas Voters, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .130 8.6. General Election Voter Turnout in Arkansas, 1972–2008 . . . . . . . . . .134 8.7. Registered Voter Turnout and Presidential Vote in the Ten Most Populous Arkansas Counties, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .135 9.1. Results of 2008 Florida Presidential Election and Selected Congressional Districts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .148 9.2. Partisan Change in Florida’s “Mega” Counties in Presidential Elections, 1988–2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .149 9.3. Florida 2008 Presidential Election Vote by Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .150 9.4. Florida Exit Poll Results Reporting Demographic and Political Factors in the 2008 Presidential Vote (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .152 10.1. North Carolina Election Results, Presidential Years, 1992–2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .162 10.2. Presidential Vote in North Carolina and the Nation, 1988–2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .166 10.3. North Carolina Voting by Selected Political Orientations, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .168 10.4. North Carolina Voting by Selected Demographic and Social Variables, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .169 10.5. Congressional Election Outcomes in North Carolina, 2006–2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .171 11.1. How Often Do You Attend Religious Services? (in percent) . . . . . . . .183 11.2. Poll Tracks in Tennessee, President, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . .185 11.3. Comparing Obama’s Tennessee Performance to the Rest of the South (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .187 11.4. NEP Exit Poll Estimates of White and Black Voter Preferences, 1992–2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .188 11.5. WLS Estimates of the 2004 and 2008 Democratic Presidential Vote, and the Structure of Shifting Preferences in Tennessee . . . . . . . .190 12.1 The Vote in Texas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .197 12.2 Which One of These Five Issues is the Most Important Facing the Country? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .200 12.3 Vote Share of Presidential Candidates and District Judges, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .209 12.4. Exit Poll Results, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .211 13.1. Virginia Election Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .224 13.2. Virginia Exit Poll Results, 2008 (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .225 13.3. Turnout and Vote in Selected Virginia Localities (in percent) . . . . . . . .229 viii ★ Illustrations Figures 11.1. Counties Voting More Republican for President in 2008 than 2004 . . .189 12.1. Republican Vote Trend in Texas, 1948–2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .203 12.2. Republican Presidential Vote Trend by Place, 1976–2008 . . . . . . . . . .205 12.3. Republican Vote Trend for Urban Counties, 1976–2008 . . . . . . . . . . .207 C.1. Growing Gap in Republican Presidential Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .238 C.2. Narrowing the Gap in Voter Turnout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .239 C.3. 2008 Voter Turnout in Southern States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .240 C.4. Republican Congressional Success in the South . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .241 C.5. Population Growth in Southern States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .243 C.6. Racial Diversity in Southern States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .244 C.7. Evidence of Racially Based Voting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .246 C.8. Obama White Vote and Racial Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .247 Illustrations ★ ix Acknowledgments This volume is the seventh in a series of analysis of elections in the South beginning in 1984 and continuing in 1988, 1992, 1996, and 2000. A stateby -state study of the 2004 presidential election was not published in edited book form, but did appear in a special double issue of the American Review of Politics. While the presidential election has been the focus of each volume, other important aspects of contemporary southern electoral politics have also been addressed, including congressional and state elections and the overall status of party development and competition in each southern state. This volume continues the general organizational plan of the previous publications, including an introductory chapter, a chapter on presidential primaries, a chapter on issues in the 2008 presidential election , as well as chapters on each southern state and a conclusion summarizing lessons from the 2008 election cycle. This study of the 2008 presidential election in the South benefitted greatly from the institutional and financial support of the Diane D. Blair Center for the Study of Southern Politics and Society. We are grateful for the interest expressed by the Blair Center’s director, Todd Shields, in continuing this project. We are also appreciative of the support of those who have made this book possible or who have contributed to the atmosphere in which this work was created. The Citadel Foundation provided indispensable financial support for The Citadel Symposium on Southern Politics, a biennial conference that for over two decades has brought together a community of scholars engaged in the study of southern politics and which has, in the process, helped to develop the network of contributors involved...

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Additional Information

ISBN
9781610750035
Related ISBN
9781557289155
MARC Record
OCLC
769114785
Pages
360
Launched on MUSE
2012-01-11
Language
English
Open Access
No
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