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strategic asia 2012–13 [This page intentionally left blank.] With contributions from Dan Blumenthal, Andrew S. Erickson, Thomas Fingar, Christopher W. Hughes, Roy Kamphausen, Kevin Pollpeter, Arun Sahgal, Andrew Shearer, Mark A. Stokes, and Ashley J. Tellis Edited by Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner strategic asia 2012–13 china’s military challenge the national bureau of asian research Published in the United States of America by The National Bureau of Asian Research, Seattle, WA, and Washington, D.C. Copyright © 2012 by The National Bureau of Asian Research All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior permission of the publisher. ISBN (print): 978-0-9818904-3-2 ISBN (electronic): 978-1-939131-10-2 This material is based upon work supported in part by the Department of Energy (National Nuclear Security Administration). This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise does not constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof. NBR makes no warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of any map in this volume. Depicted boundaries are meant as guidelines only and do not represent the views of NBR or NBR’s funders. Design and publishing services by The National Bureau of Asian Research Cover design by Stefanie Choi Publisher’s Cataloging-In-Publication Data (Prepared by The Donohue Group, Inc.) China’s military challenge / edited by Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner ; with contributions from Dan Blumenthal ... [et al.]. p. : ill., maps ; cm. -- (Strategic Asia 1933-6462 ; 2012-13) Based upon work supported in part by the Department of Energy (National Nuclear Security Administration). Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN: 978-0-9818904-3-2 1. China--Military policy--21st century. 2. China--History, Military--21st century. 3. Asia- -Military relations. 4. China--Military relations--United States. 5. United States--Military relations--China. I. Tellis, Ashley J. II. Tanner, Travis. III. Blumenthal, Dan. IV. National Bureau of Asian Research (U.S.) V. Series: Strategic Asia ; 2012-13. UA835 .C55 2012 355.3/0951 Printed in Canada The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirement of the American National Standard for Information Sciences—Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI Z39.48-1992. Praise for NBR’s Strategic Asia Series “As America bolsters its engagement with Asia, there has never been a more pressing need for careful and thorough analysis of the world’s rising military power, China. The National Bureau of Asian Research has answered that call with its latest volume, building on the excellence of previous volumes. Strategic Asia 2012–13: China’s Military Challenge is absolutely essential reading for policymakers, government officials, and military officers alike who seek a greater understanding of what China’s expanding military capabilities mean for the United States and our relationships throughout the region.” —dennis c. blair, Former Director of National Intelligence and Former Commander, U.S. Pacific Command “This is an especially important time in America’s security relationships in the AsiaPacific . NBR’s Strategic Asia Program provides the vital expert insights necessary to understand new policies, new positions, and the strategic dynamic challenges emerging in the region.” —thomas b. fargo, Former Commander, U.S. Pacific Command, and John M. Shalikashvili Chair in National Security Studies, The National Bureau of Asian Research “NBR’s Strategic Asia series is an unparalleled resource for the classroom, the boardroom, and the situation room. My staff used it at the NSC, and it serves as a core text for courses I now teach at Georgetown.” —michael, Former Senior Director for Asian Affairs, National Security Council, and Professor, Georgetown University “For those interested in Asia, NBR’s Strategic Asia series is invaluable in identifying and clarifying the strategic imperatives that...


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