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227 Africa: cost of malaria, 109; effects of MOC collapse, 79; expected climate change effects, 19, 70, 102–03; historical natural disasters, 28, 30, 39; population movement in response to climate change, 102; public resistance to colonial government interventions, 37; Scenario 2 outcomes, 142; Scenario 3 outcomes, 164; security implications of environmental problems , 8; sensitivity to climate change effects, 75. See also Middle East and North Africa; specific country Agriculture: in Africa, 102–03; in China, 111; Scenario 1 outcomes, 66, 100, 102–03, 111; Scenario 2 outcomes, 67, 134, 137; Scenario 3 outcomes, 67–68, 159–60 Antarctic, 72, 171, 172–74 Arctic: expected climate change effects, 72, 75; permafrost thawing, 171–72; Scenario 2 outcomes, 135; Scenario 3 outcomes, 162–63; territorial claims in, 15 Armed conflict: expected climate change effects in Africa, 102, 103; natural disaster outcomes, 35, 38–40; over water access, 105; Scenario 2 outcomes, 19, 152, 216; Scenario 3 outcomes, 161, 162–63. See also Military planning and operations; National security issues Army War College, 16 Arnell, Nigel W., 78–79 ASEAN, 122 Asia: effects of MOC collapse, 79; expected climate change effects, 70–71, 77, 99–102; population movement in response to climate change, 100–01; Scenario 2 outcomes , 174; Scenario 3 outcomes, 159; sensitivity to climate change effects, 75. See also specific country Asia-Pacific Partnership for Clean Development and Climate, 208 Australia and New Zealand, 32–33, 53, 72 Austria, 196 Index 11100-11_Index.qxd 5/8/08 12:46 PM Page 227 Baettig, M. B., 75 Bailey, Jessica, 2 Baker, James, 7 Bangladesh, 99–100, 119, 140, 141 Barrett, Peter, 174 Beers, Rand, 2 Biofuel production, 120, 186–87 Blair, Tony, 194 Boer, Yvo de, 191 Borrell, Bob, 2 Boutros-Ghali, Boutros, 3 Boxer, Barbara, 202 Brazil, 120 Brown, Lester, 3, 12, 14 Brundtland, Gro Harlem, 3, 14 Bush (G. H. W.) administration, 6, 199 Bush (G. W.) administration, 10, 191, 199–200 Cameron, David, 11 Canada: Arctic territorial claims, 15; energy resources, 116; expected climate change effects, 71; Scenario 2 outcomes, 138; United States and, 138 Cap and trade proposals, 9, 199, 202–03 Catastrophic climate change (Scenario 3): abrupt and extreme weather events in, 77–83, 155–56, 158, 160–61, 164, 216–17; agricultural production and, 159–60; as creative destruction, 167; definition and assumptions, 17, 19, 57–58, 83, 158–61; disaster relief capacity, 164; energy production and, 163, 219; international conflict in, 162–63, 164; mortality, 159; plausibility, 170; population movement in, 163, 164, 165; potential mitigating factors, 166–67, 217; rationale for considering , 157–58, 166; sea-level rise, 57, 61, 67–68, 80–83, 158, 160, 169, 172–74; social functioning and governance , 161–62, 163–64; temperature change, 19, 158–59, 169, 216; water supply and access, 159 Center for Naval Analysis Corporation, 16 Center for New American Security, 1 Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1 China: agricultural productivity, 139–40; climate change recognition and response, 204–05, 206–08; desertification , 111; economic development trends, 205–07; energy economy , 110, 116, 120, 173, 205, 207; expected climate change effects, 110–12; future challenges, 145; greenhouse gas emissions, 20, 110, 113–14, 191–92, 205, 207; historical natural disasters, 28, 29; political structure, 113, 140; population movement, 112; public awareness of climate change, 100, 112–13, 208; public perception of natural disasters , 37; role in global climate change response, 209, 221; Russia and, 117–18, 176–77; Scenario 2 outcomes , 139–40; Scenario 3 outcomes, 165; sensitivity to climate change effects, 75; United States and, 114, 116; water supply, 112, 140, 206 Chlorofluorocarbons, 43 Cholera, 36 Chollet, Derek, 2 Cicerone, Ralph, 2 Claussen, Eileen, 2 Climate change, generally: Bush (G. W.) administration policies, 10, 191, 199–200; China’s significance, 209, 221; Clinton administration policies, 7–9; economic growth and, 173; energy production infrastructure 228 INDEX 11100-11_Index.qxd 5/8/08 12:46 PM Page 228 vulnerability, 177; European role in addressing, 122–23, 192–98; expected consequences, 12; exponential change in, 170; feedback effects, 56–58, 97–98, 171–73; historical data and patterns, 26–27, 60; human response to natural disasters and, 18, 27, 43–45, 175; impact on poor countries and populations, 14; implications for military planning and operations, 16–17, 217; international cooperation in disaster relief, 121–25; legislative responses, 8; linkage to national security, 5–9, 11–15, 16, 213–14; as malignant problem, 169–70; mathematical modeling, 18; media coverage, 10–11; myths, 52–54...

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Additional Information

ISBN
9780815701552
MARC Record
OCLC
430512405
Pages
237
Launched on MUSE
2015-01-01
Language
English
Open Access
No
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