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The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Climate Change Kurt M. Campbell editor CLIMATIC CATACLYSM C limate change threatens not only the environment but global peace and security as well. Climatic Cataclysm brings together experts on climate science, foreign policy, political science, oceanography, history, and national security to take measure of these risks. The contributors examine three scenarios as a basis for future planning. The first scenario projects the likely effects of the expected level of climate change over the next thirty years, based on current scientific models. The severe scenario, based on a much stronger response to current levels of carbon loading, foresees profound and potentially destabilizing global effects over the next generation or more. Finally, the catastrophic scenario is characterized by a devastating “tipping point” in the climate system, perhaps fifty or one hundred years hence. In this future world, the land-based polar ice sheets have disappeared, global sea levels have risen dramatically, and the existing natural order has been destroyed beyond repair. Climatic Cataclysm analyzes the security implications of these scenarios, ranging from disease proliferation, large-scale migration, and increased low-intensity conflict to the risk of nuclear war. It also considers the lessons that can be learned from previous civilizations confronted with natural disaster and asks what three of the largest emitters of greenhouse gases—the United States, the European Union, and China—can do to reduce and manage future risks. Climate change may prove to be the single greatest challenge confronting the United States and, indeed, human civilization. Climatic Cataclysm helps explain why. Contributors SharonBurke(CenterforaNewAmericanSecurity), Leon Fuerth (George Washington University), Jay Gulledge (Pew Center on Global Climate Change), Alexander T. J. Lennon (Center for Strategic and International Studies), J. R. McNeill (Georgetown University), Peter Ogden (Center for American Progress), Christine Parthemore (Center for a New American Security), John Podesta (Center for American Progress), Julianne Smith (Center for Strategic and International Studies), Richard Weitz (Hudson Institute), and R. James Woolsey (VantagePoint Venture Partners) Kurt M. Campbellis CEO and cofounder of the Center for a New American Security and director of the Aspen Strategy Group. He served as deputy assistant secretary of defense for Asia and the Pacific in the Clinton administration. His books include Hard Power: The New Politics of National Security, written with Michael O’Hanlon (Basic Books, 2006), and The Nuclear Tipping Point: Why States Reconsider Their Nuclear Choices, edited with Robert J. Einhorn and Mitchell B. Reiss (Brookings, 2004). Jacket and cover montage by Rich Pottern Design Campbell CLIMATIC CATACLYSM Brookings Brookings Institution Press Washington, D.C. www.brookings.edu Climatic Cataclysm builds on the best available scientific evidence to create three scenarios about the way the peoples of the world—ourselves included—may come to live as the result of climate change at various levels of severity. There is a key insight here, and it is that climate change will stress not only every ecological system but every political system on the planet, and that beyond a certain level, it can push them into chaos. This book is an important effort to translate the broad outlines of climate change into more specific visualizations of the social, political, and moral consequences for regions, states, and peoples. It has a quality of realism that reflects the breadth of experience of its contributors and also the skill of its editor in creating an integrated narrative. Very little time remains for organizing around a coherent idea of the impact of climate change and of the scale of the efforts that will be needed to cope with it. Climatic Cataclysm helps show the way. —Nobel Peace Prize Laureate and former Vice President Al Gore “ ” The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Climate Change Kurt M. Campbell editor CLIMATIC CATACLYSM C limate change threatens not only the environment but global peace and security as well. Climatic Cataclysm brings together experts on climate science, foreign policy, political science, oceanography, history, and national security to take measure of these risks. The contributors examine three scenarios as a basis for future planning. The first scenario projects the likely effects of the expected level of climate change over the next thirty years, based on current scientific models. The severe scenario, based on a much stronger response to current levels of carbon loading, foresees profound and potentially destabilizing global effects over the next generation or more. Finally, the catastrophic scenario is characterized by a devastating “tipping point” in the climate system, perhaps fifty or one hundred years hence. In...

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Additional Information

ISBN
9780815701552
MARC Record
OCLC
430512405
Pages
237
Launched on MUSE
2015-01-01
Language
English
Open Access
No
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