Selective Incapacitation and Public Policy: Evaluating California's Imprisonment Crisis

Contents

vii Contents Acknowledgments ix Part I The Criminal in Society: Penal Response and Rationale Chapter 1 Introduction 3 Chapter 2 Criminal Punishment in Civil Society: Purpose and Method 17 Chapter 3 Criminal Sentencing Reform and Paradigm Change in California 39 Part II Incapacitation and Dangerousness Chapter 4 Selective Incapacitation 61 Chapter 5 Dangerousness 73 Chapter 6 Assessing the Level of Dangerousness in the Criminal Justice System 87 Part III Evaluating the Past, Choosing the Future Chapter 7 Modeling the California Criminal Justice System, Part I: Reproducing and Evaluating the Past 103 Chapter 8 Modeling the California Criminal Justice System, Part II: Predictive Evaluation 131 Chapter 9 Conclusion: Choosing California’s Future 153 Technical Appendix A Data Sources and Estimation Procedures 159 Technical Appendix B Example of Simulation Model Code 167 Notes 171 Bibliography 187 Subject Index 215 Author Index 221 ...