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Contents Acknowledgments vii Chapter 1 The Role of Public Expectations 1 Chapter 2 Public Expectations in a Historical Perspective 6 Chapter 3 Comparing Incumbent and Retrospective Evaluations of Presidential Performance 16 Chapter 4 Analyzing Public Expectations 29 Chapter 5 Testing the Expectations Gap Thesis: The Presidency of Bill Clinton 51 Chapter 6 The Economy, Ethical Standards, and Partisanship 72 Chapter 7 Presidential Scandal and the Expectations Gap: Why Did Clinton Survive the Impeachment Crisis? 84 Chapter 8 George W. Bush: War and the Economy 104 Chapter 9 Barack Obama: The Candidate/Incumbent Expectations Gap 120 Chapter 10 Micro- and Macro-Level Models of the Expectations Gap 133 Chapter 11 The Expectations Gap in a Broader Theoretical Context 161 Appendix A Survey Methodology 177 Appendix B Measurement of Our Independent Variables 187 Notes 191 References 195 Index 204 ...

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