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The main contribution of this book lies in its focus on real alternatives in future population growth. At some time-taken as 1956 in India for this case study-a low-income country may have the option of effectively promoting the reduction of fertility, or (by inaction) of permitting fertility to remain at high levels. This book clearly shows the nature and extent of the economic gains resulting from fertility reduction. Since most low-income areas are destined for rapid population growth even with substantial fertility declines, the emphasis is placed between moderately rapid and very rapid growth. The extensive quantitative population projections show the importance of the growth rate itself and of changes in age distribution in addition to population size. The results for India have direct implications for all low-income, primarily agrarian areas entering a program of economic development.

Originally published in 1958.

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Table of Contents

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  1. Cover
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  1. Title Page, Copyright
  2. pp. i-iv
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  1. Foreword
  2. pp. v-vii
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  1. Preface
  2. pp. vii-xii
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  1. Contents
  2. pp. xiii-xvi
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  1. Tables
  2. pp. xv-xix
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  1. Charts
  2. pp. xx-2
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  1. 1. Introduction
  2. pp. 3-6
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  1. Part 1 Relations Between Population and Economic Development
  1. 2. The Effects of Economic Development on Population Growth
  2. pp. 9-17
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  1. 3. The Effects of Population Growth on Economic Development
  2. pp. 18-26
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  1. Part 2 Population Trends and Prospects in India
  1. 4. India's Population—Current and Prospective
  2. pp. 29-42
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  1. 5. Recent Indian Mortality and Fertility Trends
  2. pp. 43-54
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  1. 6. Prospective Changes in Indian Mortality and Fertility
  2. pp. 55-72
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  1. Part 3 Factors in Indian Economic Development
  1. 7. Guiding Principles in Indian Economic Development
  2. pp. 75-84
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  1. 8. Potential Development in Agriculture
  2. pp. 85-110
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  1. 9. Agricultural Manpower
  2. pp. 111-118
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  1. 10. Agricultural and Overall Economic Development
  2. pp. 119-140
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  1. 11. Nonagricultural and Total Output--Limiting Factors and Development Policies
  2. pp. 141-147
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  1. 12. The Financing of Development
  2. pp. 148-180
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  1. 13. The Productivity of Developmental Outlays
  2. pp. 181-224
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  1. Part 4 Influence of Population Growth on Indian Economic Development
  1. 14. Demographic Influences on India's Prospective Economic Growth
  2. pp. 227-230
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  1. 15. Population Growth and Labor Supply
  2. pp. 231-237
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  1. 16. Population Growth and the Disposition of Income
  2. pp. 238-258
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  1. 17. Projections of the Effect of Reduced Fertility on Indian Economic Growth
  2. pp. 259-283
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  1. 18. Summary and Conclusion of Part Four
  2. pp. 284-292
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  1. Part 5 Wider Applicability of the Analysis
  1. 19. Introduction to Part Five
  2. pp. 295-296
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  1. 20. Population Change and Economic Development in Low-Income Areas with Different Demographic Conditions
  2. pp. 297-303
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  1. 21. Population Change and Economic Development with Different Initial Economic Conditions
  2. pp. 304-320
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  1. 22. The Economic Effects of Different Courses of Fertility After 30 Years
  2. pp. 321-331
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  1. 23. Population Growth and Economic Development in Low Income Areas: Summary
  2. pp. 332-336
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  1. Appendix A
  2. pp. 337-367
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  1. Appendix B
  2. pp. 368-374
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  1. Appendix C
  2. pp. 375-384
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  1. Index
  2. pp. 385-389
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