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summary
A century ago, Europe's diplomats mismanaged the crisis triggered by the murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and the continent plunged into World War I, which killed millions, toppled dynasties, and destroyed empires. Today, as the hundredth anniversary of the Great War prompts renewed debate about the war's causes, scholars and policy experts are also considering the parallels between the present international system and the world of 1914. Are China and the United States fated to follow in the footsteps of previous great power rivals? Will today's alliances drag countries into tomorrow's wars? Can leaders manage power relationships peacefully? Or will East Asia's territorial and maritime disputes trigger a larger conflict, just as rivalries in the Balkans did in 1914?In The Next Great War?, experts reconsider the causes of World War I and explore whether the great powers of the twenty-first century can avoid the mistakes of Europe's statesmen in 1914 and prevent another catastrophic conflict. They find differences as well as similarities between today's world and the world of 1914 -- but conclude that only a deep understanding of those differences and early action to bring great powers together will likely enable the United States and China to avoid a great war.ContributorsAlan Alexandroff, Graham Allison, Richard N. Cooper, Charles S. Maier, Steven E. Miller, Joseph S. Nye Jr., T. G. Otte, David K. Richards, Richard N. Rosecrance, Kevin Rudd, Jack Snyder, Etel Solingen, Arthur A. Stein, Stephen Van Evera

Table of Contents

  1. Cover
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  1. Title page, Series page, Copyright, Dedication
  2. pp. i-vi
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  1. Contents
  2. pp. vii-viii
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  1. Introduction: The Sarajevo Centenary—1914 and the Rise of China
  2. Steven E. Miller
  3. pp. ix-xxiv
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  1. Power Balances, Alliance Ties, and Diplomacy
  2. pp. 1-2
  1. 1. Before the War: Three Styles of Diplomacy
  2. Alan Alexandroff
  3. pp. 3-12
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  1. 2. Respites or Resolutions? Recurring Crises and the Origins of War
  2. Arthur A. Stein
  3. pp. 13-24
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  1. 3. Better Now Than Later: The Paradox of 1914 as Everyone’s Favored Year for War
  2. Jack Snyder
  3. pp. 25-44
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  1. 4. Allies, Overbalance, and War
  2. Richard N. Rosecrance
  3. pp. 45-56
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  1. 5. Economic Interdependence and War
  2. Richard N. Cooper
  3. pp. 57-70
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  1. Debating the Thucydides Trap
  2. pp. 71-72
  1. 6. The Thucydides Trap
  2. Graham Allison
  3. pp. 73-80
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  1. 7. Thucydides Dethroned: Historical Differences That Weaken the Peloponnesian Analogy
  2. David K. Richards
  3. pp. 81-90
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  1. 8. Thucydides, Alliance Politics, and Great Power Conflict
  2. Charles S. Maier
  3. pp. 91-100
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  1. The Inside Story: Domestic Factors and the Roots of War, Then and Now
  2. pp. 101-102
  1. 9. War, Revolution, and the Uncertain Primacy of Domestic Politics
  2. T.G. Otte
  3. pp. 103-126
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  1. 10. Domestic Coalitions,Internationalization, and War: Then and Now
  2. Etel Solingen
  3. pp. 127-148
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  1. 11. European Militaries and the Origins of World War I
  2. Stephen Van Evera
  3. pp. 149-176
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  1. A Century after Sarajevo: Taking Stock and Looking Forward
  2. pp. 177-178
  1. 12. Inevitability and War
  2. Joseph S. Nye Jr.
  3. pp. 179-192
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  1. 13. Lessons from Europe 1914 for Asia 2014: Reflections on the Centenary of the Outbreak of World War I
  2. The Honorable Kevin Rudd
  3. pp. 193-210
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  1. 14. Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)
  2. Richard N. Rosecrance
  3. pp. 211-218
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  1. Notes
  2. pp. 219-270
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  1. Contributors
  2. pp. 271-276
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  1. Index
  2. pp. 277-286
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  1. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
  2. pp. 287-288
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  1. Belfer Center Studies in International Security
  2. pp. 289-291
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Additional Information

ISBN
9780262326773
Related ISBN
9780262028998
MARC Record
OCLC
896343523
Pages
320
Launched on MUSE
2015-01-23
Language
English
Open Access
No
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