Abstract

Abstract:

Climatologists have recently introduced a distinction between projections as scenario-based model results on the one hand and predictions on the other hand. The interpretation and usage of both terms is, however, not univocal. It is stated that the ambiguities of the interpretations may cause problems in the communication of climate science within the scientific community and to the public realm. This paper suggests an account of scenarios as props in games of make-belive. With this account, we explain the difference between projections that should be make-believed and other model results that should be believed.

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Additional Information

ISSN
1530-9274
Print ISSN
1063-6145
Pages
pp. 36-61
Launched on MUSE
2021-02-25
Open Access
No
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