Figure 5.
The Proportion of Students Who Fell Below the Reading Proficiency Cutoff in Third Grade in 2013 in Regular Elementary Schools in the Four School Districts That Encompass the Baltimore Metropolitan Area, Plotted Against the Percentage of Each School Identified as Black or African American in 2012
Source: Authors’ calculations based on NCES, CCD, 2012 School Universe File (Keaton 2014), merged with publicly available data from the Maryland State Department of Education for 2013.
Notes: The red line is a kernel-smoothed local regression prediction, which is interpretable as the smoothed average proficiency for each value of racial composition. The estimated correlation for the underlying scatterplot is 0.73. The number of elementary schools with valid and available data for the proportion black in 2012 and the percentage not proficient in 2013 is 323 (77 for Anne Arundel County, 101 for Baltimore City, 105 for Baltimore County, and 40 for Howard County).