A consumption-based model of the term structure of interest rates

JA Wachter - Journal of Financial economics, 2006 - Elsevier
Journal of Financial economics, 2006Elsevier
This paper proposes a consumption-based model that accounts for many features of the
nominal term structure of interest rates. The driving force behind the model is a time-varying
price of risk generated by external habit. Nominal bonds depend on past consumption
growth through habit and on expected inflation. When calibrated to data on consumption,
inflation, and the aggregate market, the model produces realistic means and volatilities of
bond yields and accounts for the expectations puzzle. The model also captures the high …
This paper proposes a consumption-based model that accounts for many features of the nominal term structure of interest rates. The driving force behind the model is a time-varying price of risk generated by external habit. Nominal bonds depend on past consumption growth through habit and on expected inflation. When calibrated to data on consumption, inflation, and the aggregate market, the model produces realistic means and volatilities of bond yields and accounts for the expectations puzzle. The model also captures the high equity premium and excess stock market volatility.
Elsevier