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Actual Causality Actual Causality Joseph Y. Halpern The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England c 2016 Massachusetts Institute of Technology All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher. This book was set in L A TEX by Joseph Y. Halpern. Printed and bound in the United States of America. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Halpern, Joseph Y., 1953 Title: Actual causality / Joseph Y. Halpern. Description: Cambridge, MA : The MIT Press, [2016] — Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2016007205 — ISBN 9780262035026 (hardcover : alk. paper) Subjects: LCSH: Functional analysis. — Probabilities. — Causation. Classification: LCC QA320 .H325 2016 — DDC 122dc23 LC record available at 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 For David, Sara, and Daniel (yet again). It’s hard to believe that you’re all old enough now to read and understand what I write (although I’m not sure you will want to!). The theory of causality presented here allows there to be more than one cause, and for blame to be shared. You’re all causes of my happiness (and have, at various times, been causes of other states of mind). I’m happy to share some blame with Mom for how you turned out. ...