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List of Illustrations viii Acknowledgments ix Introduction: Anxiety, Danger and the Ghost of Norman Angell 1 Part One Theory 1 Explaining Behavioral Change: Why Norms Evolve 19 2 From Opium to Obsolescence: The Norms of War 37 Part Two Evidence 3 On Predicting International Affairs 57 4 Evaluating the Crystal Balls 83 5 Resource Wars? The Three Stages of Petroleum Politics 110 Part Three Implications 6 Theory and Great Power Peace 135 7 Grand Strategy and Great Power Peace 154 8 Foreign Policy and Great Power Peace: Restraint in Practice 183 Conclusion: Angell, Honor, and the Proliferation of Peace 215 Bibliography 225 Index 263 Contents ...

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