Strategic Asia 2006-07

Title Page, Copyright

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pp. iii-iv

Contents

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pp. v-vii

Preface

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pp. ix-xiv

Strategic Asia 2006–07: Trade, Interdependence, and Security is the sixth in the series of annual reports produced by the Strategic Asia Program at NBR. This year’s volume investigates the growing economic interdependence among Asian states and assesses the implications of these burgeoning ...

Strategic Asia 2006–07 Overview

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p. 1-1

Trade, Interdependence, and Securityin Asia

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pp. 2-25

The production of order remains the central problem of international politics. Since the beginning of recorded reflection on the interstate system, political philosophers and theorists have sought to understand the causes of discord among nations and how these might be ameliorated. The realist ...

Strategic Asia 2006–07 Country Studies

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p. 27-27

The Superpower as Super-Debtor:Implications of Economic Disequilibria for U.S.-Asian Relations

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pp. 28-63

The United States has taken no meaningful action to contain ten years of steadily worsening, record-breaking trade deficits. The policy of inaction that by default has encouraged these deficits has been praised as a brilliant, wealth-maximizing strategy but also has been condemned as a dangerously ...

Rising China:The Search for Power and Plenty

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pp. 64-103

This chapter seeks to outline the current and future impact of China’s growing trade and economic interdependence on the security both of China and of the Asia-Pacific region. The chapter will seek to answer two basic questions. First, how do growing trade and interdependence relate to and ...

Back to Normal? The Promise and Pitfalls of Japan’s Economic Integration

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pp. 104-137

Japanese government officials might understandably look back on the Cold War with at least some degree of nostalgia. During this time of serious international tension, Japan nonetheless did enjoy remarkable economic success and prosperity, a high degree of security, and clarity in ...

South Korea’s Embrace of Interdependence in Pursuit of Security

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pp. 138-170

This chapter analyzes the current and future impact of South Korea’s growing trade and economic interdependence for the country’s security and relations in Northeast Asia. The chapter will seek to answer two basic questions: (1) Why has the Republic of Korea (ROK) pursued a strategy ...

Russia’s Economic Role in Asia:Toward Deeper Integration

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pp. 172-202

Russia is unique in being a country with a presence both in Asia and Europe. Less than eight million Russians, a mere 5% of the population, live in the Russian Far East (RFE)—yet Russia occupies one-fifth of the Asian landmass and holds immense mineral wealth. The country’s energy ...

Strategic Asia 2006–07 Regional Studies

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p. 203-203

Trade, Energy, and Security in the Central Asian Arena

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pp. 204-238

Despite their remote location and underdeveloped economies, the five post-Soviet republics of Central Asia—Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan—have attracted the attention of the United States, Russia, China, and other Eurasian states. First, all five states ...

The Limits of Integrationin Improving South Asian Security

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pp. 240-269

This chapter addresses the characteristics of and trends in economic relations in South Asia, focusing particularly on India’s economic interactions with Pakistan and China as well as the security implications for the region. Although the region has bucked the global trend of regional ...

Strategic Dimensions of Economic Interdependence in Southeast Asia

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pp. 270-300

The leitmotif of contemporary analyses of the international relations and political economy of East and Southeast Asia has become the “rise of China.” Some observers see China’s heightened economic role—particularly as expressed by China’s relatively sudden prominence as a major trade ...

Strategic Asia 2006–07 Special Studies

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p. 301-301

China: Can Economic GrowthContinue without Political Reform?

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pp. 302-331

Though having become a great power, China faces a highly uncertain future. This uncertainty has now become one of the decisive factors influencing the policy of the West toward China. In the minds of key Western decisionmakers and strategic thinkers loom two questions: whether ...

Will Economic Interdependence Encourage China’s and India’s Peaceful Ascent?

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pp. 332-363

How have incumbent great powers responded to emerging challengers seeking to break into, or move up, the great power ranks? How might these responses have been shaped by considerations of economic interdependence? There likely are a number of approaches to answering ...

When the Flu Comes: Political and Economic Risks of Pandemic Disease in Asia

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pp. 364-389

Ecologically, demographically, and epidemiologically the Asia-Pacific is “ground zero” for epidemics of new human pathogens, both imported and “home grown.” The region is characterized by the collocation of dense communities of humans and animals (especially birds), a situation which ...

Strategic Asia 2006–07 Indicators

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pp. 391-413

The following twenty pages contain tables and figures drawn from NBR’s Strategic Asia on-line database and its sources. This appendix consists of 23 tables covering: economic growth, trade and foreign investment, population size and growth; politics and international relations; energy ...

Index

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pp. 415-423

About the Authors

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pp. 425-430

About Strategic Asia

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pp. 431-433