Strategic Asia 2010-11

Title Page, Copyright

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Contents

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pp. v-viii

Preface

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pp. ix-xvi

That the Strategic Asia Program has survived the vicissitudes of the past ten years—even prospered through them—is a remarkable testament not only to the need for the program but to the tremendous people who have led and otherwise contributed to it. With only myself to blame, it took all of the 1990s to figure out...

Strategic Asia 2010–11 Overview

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pp. 1-

Strategic Asia: Continuing Success with Continuing Risks

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pp. 2-22

Power in the international system continues to shift to Asia from the West, spurred by the superior growth of Asia’s major economies. This growth is not uniform, however, and is causing a new struggle for strategic alignments among Asian states and with the U.S. While Asia’s rise has brought new opportunities, it has...

Strategic Asia 2010–11 Thematic Studies

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pp. 23-

The Geopolitics of Strategic Asia, 2000–2020

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pp. 40-45

No student of geopolitics should be surprised by the conclusion that the future shape of Strategic Asia will be determined in large part by the power and preferences of its two biggest players. If China’s economy falters, the U.S. will remain dominant in...

Asia and the World Economy in 2030: Growth, Integration, and Governance

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pp. 46-77

Between 1990 and 2030, Asia and the West (defined as the U.S. and Europe) will have roughly traded places in terms of output and other measures of economic mass. Asia’s rise will require adjustments around the world but should have a conservative influence on the world system. Given the region’s stake in global...

Military Modernization in the Asia-Pacific: Assessing New Capabilities

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pp. 78-111

Asia-Pacific militaries have added considerably to their arsenals over the past fifteen years. Military modernization in the region has been propelled by regional geopolitical forces, enabled by robust defense spending and a buyer’s market in international arms, and stirred by the transformative promise of network...

The Rise of Energy and Resource Nationalism in Asia

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pp. 112-141

Energy and resource security have become critical issues on the economic and strategic agenda in Asia as demand and dependence on imported supplies grow. Regional powers, most notably China, have responded with nationalistic strategies to secure control over energy and commodity supplies. China, India, and other...

The Implications of Expanded Nuclear Energy in Asia

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pp. 142-169

Asia’s rapid growth in nuclear power use will significantly influence safe and secure operation of nuclear facilities, the global nuclear supply chain, and the potential for further nuclear weapons proliferation. Although further growth may occur in nuclear...

Asia’s Security and the Contested Global Commons

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pp. 170-203

Asia’s rise and America’s geopolitical preeminence have been dependent on the physical openness of the global commons—the seas, air, space, and cyberspace—which has been sustained by U.S. military dominance since the end of World War II. Yet the emergence of new Asian military powers is creating pivotal...

Climate Change and Environmental Impact

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pp. 204-235

Climate change models predict significant climate effects throughout the region. Dry areas will become drier and wet areas will become wetter. Coastal storms will increase in frequency and intensity. The monsoon may transform in dramatic ways. This situation is driven by many factors, including rapid...

Asia-Pacific Demographics in 2010–2040: Implications for Strategic Balance

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pp. 236-277

Over the coming decades, the demographic profiles of the major powers of the Asia-Pacific region—China, India, Japan, Russia, and the U.S.—stand to be transformed significantly. Impending changes will directly affect the ability of these...

Politico-Economic and Radical Islamic Challenges to Democracy in Asia

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pp. 278-302

Though the region’s established democracies, notably Japan and India, seem stable, the global wave of democracy has seemingly stalled in most other states in Asia. First, Asia’s established democracies have followed multiple paths toward democratization that may not prove easily replicable elsewhere in the region...

Strategic Asia 2010–11 Indicators

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pp. 303-

Table of Contents

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pp. 304-

Strategic Asia by the Numbers

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pp. 305-318

The following twelve pages contain tables and figures drawn from NBR’s Strategic Asia database and its sources. This appendix consists of fourteen tables covering politics, economies, trade and investment, energy and the environment, security challenges, and nuclear arms and nonproliferation. The data sets presented here...

About the Contributors

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pp. 319-326

About Strategic Asia

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pp. 327-330

Index

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pp. 331-340