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acknowledgments vii introduction. Wagers and Unexpected Outcomes 1 chapter 1. Influenza: Virus and History 21 chapter 2. The Forgotten Pandemic Remembered 42 chapter 3. Breakthroughs 58 chapter 4. Setbacks 74 chapter 5. The Forecast Calls for Pandemics 93 chapter 6. “Chance Favors the Prepared Mind” 110 chapter 7. An Act of Will 128 chapter 8. A Different Interpretation Emerges 145 chapter 9. WHO Decides 158 chapter 10. A Program Begins and Ends and an Epidemic Appears 174 chapter 11. The Continuing Lessons of Influenza’s History 193 notes 207 BiBliography 261 index 279 CONTENTS ...

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