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contents vii Introduction 1 Part I. A Greatly Exaggerated Decline: The Fall and Rise of Major Powers 1 America’s Enduring Power 11 2 The Trillionaires’ Club 37 3 No Mortar in the BRICS 57 Part II. Of Rivalry and Restraint: The Persistence of Cooperation 4 Overlapping Interests: Transnational Threats and the Security of Globalization 83 5 Shaping It, Not Breaking It: Economics, Energy, and Climate Change 100 6 Muddling Through and Missed Opportunities: Crises and Intervention 126 7 Competitors, Not Cold Warriors: U.S.-China Relations 151 00-2512-1 fm.indd 7 1/8/14 3:52 PM Part III. How America Can Still Win Friends and Influence History 8 What Lies Ahead? Of Scenarios and Shadows 179 9 American Leadership in a Fractured Age 193 Acknowledgments 215 Notes 221 Index 253 viii Contents 00-2512-1 fm.indd 8 1/8/14 3:52 PM ...

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