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Still Ours to Lead

America, Rising Powers, and the Tension between Rivalry and Restraint

Bruce Jones

Publication Year: 2014

Is the United States still a "superpower"? How are the rising powers establishing themselves in international politics and security? What is the future of global stability?

For over a decade, Bruce Jones has had a front-row seat as the emerging powers—principally China, India, and Brazil, but also Turkey, Indonesia, Korea, and others—thrust themselves onto the global stage. From Delhi to Doha to Beijing to Brasilia, he's met with the politicians, diplomats, business leaders, and scholars of those powers as they craft their strategies for rising influence—and with senior American officials as they forge their response.

In Still Ours to Lead, Jones tells a nuanced story of American leadership. He artfully examines the tension between the impulse to rival the United States and the incentives for restraint and cooperation among the rising powers. That balance of rivalry and restraint provides the United States with a continued ability to solve problems and to manage crises at roughly the same rate as when American dominance was unquestioned. Maintaining the balance is central to the question of whether we will live in a stable or unstable system in the period to come. But it just so happens that this challenge plays to America's unique strength—its unparalleled ability to pull together broad and disparate coalitions for action. To succeed, America must adapt its leadership to new realities.

Published by: Brookings Institution Press

Title Page, Copyright Page

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pp. i-vi

Contents

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pp. vii-viii

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Introduction

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pp. 1-8

On the face of things, it has been a rough few years for the United States. America is only slowly winding down the second of two draining wars. Trying to avoid a third war, this time in Syria, has put the U.S. at odds with many of its allies in Europe and the Middle East, while Russian...

Part I: A Greatly Exaggerated Decline: The Fall and Rise of Major Powers

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Chapter One: America's Enduring Power

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pp. 11-36

In May 2006 the Financial Times published a survey of the most influential commentators in the world. Topping the list for the United States was Charles Krauthammer.1 Krauthammer was cited for two articles he had written in the previous half decade: a manifesto for an...

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Chapter Two: The Trillionaires' Club

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pp. 37-56

Though America is an enduring power, there is no question that there are other actors on the international stage, some of whom are rising in influence. If any single event illustrates the rise of these new actors, it is the international response to the global financial crisis in 2008. The financial crash started with ripples in the U.S. housing market in...

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Chapter Three: No Mortar in the BRICs

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pp. 57-80

Though America is an enduring power, there is no question that there are other actors on the international stage, some of whom are rising in influence. If any single event illustrates the rise of these new actors, it is the international response to the global financial crisis in 2008. The financial crash started with ripples in the U.S. housing market in...

Part II: Of Rivalry and Restraint: The Persistence of Cooperation

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Chapter Four: Overlapping Interests: Transnational Threats and the Security of Globalization

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pp. 83-99

In part 1 of this book, I make the argument that the attitudes of the rising powers are characterized by a balance between the impulse to rivalry, on the one hand, and on the other, incentives for restraint and cooperation. The essential argument is a simple one and has been made...

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Chapter Five: Shaping It, Not Breaking It: Economics, Energy, and Climate Change

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pp. 100-125

A different sea, and again the established and emerging powers encounter one another—in this case, with divergent interests and potential rivalry. During the cold war the Arctic was a zone of tense cold war rivalry. As the cold war receded, so too did the strategic significance of...

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Chapter Six: Muddling Through and Missed Opportunities: Crises and Intervention

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pp. 126-150

There is another instance of the emerging and established powers cooperating on the high seas, and it is off the coast of Lebanon. There, in the eastern Mediterranean, the Turkish, Indonesian, and Brazilian navies copatrol alongside those of France, Germany, Spain, and...

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Chapter Seven: Competitors, Not Cold Warriors: U.S.-China Relations

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pp. 151-176

In September 2010 a Japanese coast guard ship collided with a Chinese trawler that it was chasing from the waters surrounding an island chain known to the Japanese authorities as the Senkaku chain and to China by the name Diaoyu. Japan detained the Chinese trawler captain...

Part III: How America Can Still Win Friends and Influence History

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Chapter Eight: What Lies Ahead? Of Scenarios and Shadows

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pp. 179-192

At the most basic level, at this juncture in history, America can make two fundamental mistakes about the world it confronts and thereby lose its indispensable role in international leadership. First, it can underestimate the importance of the rising powers—or their impulse to rivalry...

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Chapter Nine: American Leadership in a Fractured Age

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pp. 193-214

On August 21, 2013, according to both U.S. intelligence sources and a report by a UN chemical weapons team, chemical munitions were fired from Syrian government-held territory into the small but strategically located town of Ghouta, on the outskirts of Damascus. Human...

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Acknowledgments

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pp. 215-220

It is a truth seldom acknowledged that writing a book is at one and the same time an isolated venture and a team effort. And in this case, I was lucky to profit from not one but three teams. The first of these is the Foreign Policy Program at the Brookings Institution. I have had the good fortune to be a senior fellow in this program...

Notes

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pp. 221-252

Index

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pp. 253-263

About the Author

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pp. 264-

Back Cover

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E-ISBN-13: 9780815725138
E-ISBN-10: 0815725132

Page Count: 175
Publication Year: 2014