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Notes
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Chapter 1 1. See Heather L. Messera, Brendan Orino, and Peter W. Singer, “D.C.’s New Guard: What Does the Next Generation of American Leaders Think?” Brookings Institution, 2011 (www.brookings.edu/~/ media/research/files/reports/2011/2/young%20leaders%20singer/02 _young_leaders_singer.pdf). 2. See, for example, John Keegan, The First World War (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1999), pp. 10–18. 3. On climate change, for example, see Kurt M. Campbell and others, The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Global Climate Change (Washington: Center for a New American Security, November 1, 2007) (www.cnas. org/files/documents/publications/CSIS-CNAS_AgeofConsequences _November07.pdf); for a very good paper on the biological weapons risk, see Richard Danzig, Preparing for Catastrophic Bioterrorism: Toward a Long-Term Strategy for Limiting the Risk (Washington: Center for Technology and National Security Policy, 2008). 4. See International Crisis Group, Stirring Up the South China Sea, Asia Report 223 (Washington: April 2012); Michael Wines, “China’s Rising Military Officers Harbor Deep Suspicion of U.S.,” International Herald Tribune, October 8, 2010, p. 1; and John 83 Notes Pomfret, “U.S. Takes Tougher Stance with China,” Washington Post, July 30, 2010, p. 1. 5. On this point, see Stephen G. Brooks, G. John Ikenberry, and William C. Wohlforth, “Lean Forward: In Defense of American Engagement,” Foreign Affairs , vol. 92, no. 1 (January/February 2013), pp. 130–42; for an alternative view see Barry R. Posen, “The Case for a Less Activist Foreign Policy,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 92, no. 1 (January/February 2013), pp. 116–29. 6. Congressional Budget Office, Long-Term Implications of the 2012 Future Years Defense Program (Washington: Congressional Budget Office, 2011), p. vii (www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12264/06-30-11_FYDP.pdf). 7. Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables, Fiscal Year 2012 (Government Printing Office, 2011), pp. 145–47. 8. See, for example, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, “Remarks on United States Foreign Policy,” Council on Foreign Relations, Washington, D.C., September 8, 2010 (www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2010/09/146917.htm); speech by Secretary of Defense Robert Gates at the Eisenhower Library, Abilene, Kansas, May 8, 2010 (www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1467); and remarks by Admiral Mike Mullen at the Detroit Economic Club Luncheon, August 26, 2010 (www.jcs.mil/speech.aspx?ID=1445). 9. “Admiral Mike Mullen: ‘National Debt Is Our Biggest Security Threat,’” Huffington Post, June 24, 2010 (www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/24/admmike -mullen-national_n_624096.html). 10. Richard Haass of the Council on Foreign Relations coined this phrase; see, for example, Richard N. Haass, War of Necessity, War of Choice (New York: Simon and Schuster, 2009). 11. Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables: Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2011 (Government Printing Office, 2010), p. 146. 12. International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance 2010 (Oxfordshire, England: Routledge, 2010), p. 468. 13. Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables, pp. 62, 83, and Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables, Fiscal Year 2013 (Government Printing Office, 2012), pp. 147–49. 14. Office of Management and Budget, Fiscal Year 2013 Budget of the U.S. Government, pp. 240–46. 15. For two analysts advocating stronger possible responses, see Ariel Cohen and Robert E. Hamilton, The Russian Military and the Georgia War: Lessons and Implications (Carlisle, Pa.: Strategic Studies Institute, 2011), p. vii. 16. U.S. Energy Information Administration, “International Energy Outlook 2010,” Department of Energy, Washington, July 2010, pp. 30–37 (www. eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo). 84 notes to pages 5–14 [44.212.50.220] Project MUSE (2024-03-29 01:50 GMT) Chapter 2 1. Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), National Defense Budget Estimates for 2012 (Washington: Department of Defense, 2011), p. 232 (http://comptroller.defense.gov/defbudget/fy2012/FY12_Green_Book.pdf). 2. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, Quadrennial Defense Review Report (Washington: Department of Defense, February 2010), p. 46. 3. For discussions of the force-sizing debates in this period, see, for example, Frederick W. Kagan, Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy (New York: Encounter Books, 2006), pp. 196–97 and 281–86; and 2d ed.(Brookings, 2002), pp. 9–17 and 63–71. 4. Robert Gates, Quadrennial Defense Review Report, p. vi. 5. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta, “Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense,” January 2012 (www.defense.gov/news/ defense_strategic_guidance.pdf). 6. Robert P. Haffa Jr., Rational...