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Foreword vii Strobe Talbott Acknowledgments xi Introduction 1 Cesare Merlini and Olivier Roy part one societal change in the arab muslim world 1 Demography, Migration, and Revolt in the Southern Mediterranean 17 Philippe Fargues 2 Islamic Revival and Democracy: The Case in Tunisia and Egypt 47 Olivier Roy 3 The Changing Role of Women in Society 53 Maria Cristina Paciello and Renata Pepicelli 4 Mediterranean Islamic Expression and Web 2.0 76 Gary R. Bunt 5 Modern Commercial and Social Entrepreneurship as a Factor of Change 96 Gonzalo Escribano and Alejandro Lorca v Contents 6 The Economics of Arab Transitions 122 Caroline Freund and Carlos A. Primo Braga part two consequences and policy options 7 Midwife or Spectator? U.S. Policies toward North Africa in the Twenty-First Century 147 Jonathan Laurence 8 The Power of False Analogies: Misunderstanding Political Islam in a Post-Totalitarian World 169 Alan Wolfe 9 Societal Change and Political Responses in Euro-Mediterranean Relations 184 Roberto Aliboni 10 The West and the Islamist Challenge: Toward a Common Religious Market? 214 Olivier Roy 11 The Challenge of a Changing Arab Islam in Future Transatlantic Relations 227 Cesare Merlini Contributors 253 Index 259 vi Contents ...

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