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Korea's Future and the Great Powers THE NATIONAL BUREAU OF ASIAN RESEARCH The National Bureau ofAsian Research (NBR) is a nonprofit, nonpartisan institution that conducts advanced research on policy-relevant issues in Asia. It also serves as the global clearinghouse for Asia research conducted by specialists and institutions worldwide. NBR is uniquely positioned to promote informed and effective U.S. policy toward the region. • NBR sponsors projects that examine the economic, political, and strategic questions affecting U.S. relations with East Asia, South Asia, and the former Soviet Union. • NBR efficiently draws upon the world's premier specialists to develop and carry out its research agenda. • Through its advisory board, programs, and print and electronic publications , NBR integrates its research into the policymaking communities of the United States and Asia. NBR's operations are governed by its Board of Directors, a nationally prominent group ofleaders with long-term interests in Asia. NBR's research agenda is developed in consultation with its Board ofAdvisors, which consists of experts from research centers, universities, and corporations, and of more than sixty U.S. Senators and Representatives. Guidance is also provided by leading American companies through NBR's Corporate Council. [54.163.62.42] Project MUSE (2024-03-28 12:49 GMT) Korea's Future and the Great Powers Edited by Nicholas Eberstadt and Richard J. Ellings fs'R The National Bureau of Asian Research in association with University of Washington Press Seattle and London To Mary and Marta, our vital interests Copyright © 2001 by the National Bureau ofAsian Research Second printing, 2003 Printed in the United States ofAmerica All rights reserved. No part ofthis publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Korea's future and the great powers / edited by Nicholas Eberstadt and Richard J. Ellings. p.cm. Includes index. ISBN 0-295-98129-6 (alk. paper) 1. Korean reunification question (1945-). 2. Korea (South)-Economic policy. 3. Korea (North)-Politics and government. 4. East Asia-Politics and government. 5. World politics-1945- I. Eberstadt, Nicholas, 1955II . Ellings, Richard 1. DS917.444.K6852001 951.904-dc21 2001018305 The paper used in this publication is acid-free and recycled from 10 percent post-consumer and at least 50 percent pre-consumer waste. It meets the minimum requirements ofAmerican National Standard for Information SciencesPermanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI Z39.48-1984. §~ ...