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Korea's Future and The Great Powers

Nicholas Eberstadt

Publication Year: 2012

Published by: University of Washington Press

Title Page, Copyright, Dedication

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pp. vii-ix

Widely unexpected and even startling events, reflecting significant policy shifts or mistakes by the two Koreas and the surrounding powers, took place during the writing of this volume. To name but a few of these: . . .

Commonly Used Abbreviations

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pp. x-xi

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1. Introduction / Nicholas Eberstadt and Richard J. Ellings

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pp. 1-47

For over a century, the Korean Peninsula has figured fatefully in the international strategies of all the major powers of the Pacific region: China, Russia, Japan, and the United States. A small, secluded, and impoverished . . .

Historical and Political Context

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2. Conflict and Cooperation: The Pacific Powers and Korea / Chae-Jin Lee

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pp. 51-87

Even though we have witnessed the dramatic dissolution of the Soviet Union, the peaceful reunification of Germany, and the unmistakable passing of the Cold War in recent years, it is an unfortunate fact that the . . .

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3. Discerning North Korea's Intentions / Chuck Downs

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pp. 88-106

A peculiar feature of political analysis concerning the Korean Peninsula is the debate over the intentions behind North Korea's proposals. Inductive logic alone would suggest that North Korea desires to extend its . . .

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4. China and Korean Reunification - A Neighbor's Concerns / Robert A. Scalapino

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pp. 107-124

From the beginning of recorded history, China has figured prominently on the Korean Peninsula. Historically, Korea played two roles from a Chinese perspective. On the one hand, Korea was a tributary state into . . .

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5. Japan and the Unification of Korea: Challenges for U.S. Policy Coordination / Michael H. Armacost and Kenneth B. Pyle

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pp. 125-163

The sudden, unanticipated end of the Cold War presented Japan with a new set of foreign policy challenges, among which the prospect of Korean reunification is one of the most problematic. In this essay we argue . . .

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6. Russia, Korea, and Northeast Asia / Herbert J. Ellison

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pp. 164-187

Many of the high hopes that accompanied the Russian Revolution of 1989-91 have been shattered, and the vision of a new Russian role in Northeast Asia is among them. The dual expectations of full regional partnership . . .

Economic Context

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7 Economic Strategies for Reunification / Marcus Noland

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pp. 191-228

The past decade has witnessed a considerable deterioration in the North Korean economy. The country has been facing food shortages at least since the early 1990s and is well into a famine of unknown magnitude. Although . . .

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8. The Role of International Finance in Korean Economic Reconstruction and Reunification / Gifford Combs

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pp. 229-247

If, as Samuel Johnson once observed, nothing concentrates a man's mind like the prospect of a good hanging,l then in a market economy nothing concentrates a lender's mind like the imminent bankruptcy of a borrower. . . .

Strategic Implications

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9. The Post-Korean Unification Security Landscape and U.S. Security Policy in Northeast Asia / Michael McDevitt

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pp. 251-286

It is intellectually perilous to advance premises about the long term. The numberĀ· of variables is too large, global changes are too rapid and diverse, and our imaginations are too limited. Who could have foreseen the world of . . .

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10. Negotiating Korean Unification: Options for an International Framework / Robert L. Gallucci

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pp. 297-302

In 1997 the topic of an international framework for Korean unification would have entailed an examination of the four-party talks, perhaps with a focus on whether they should be expanded to six or more, or turned into a . . .

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11. A Policy Agenda for Achieving Korean Reunification / Douglas H. Paal

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pp. 303-314

Since the death of Kim II Sung in 1994, Korean and other analysts have struggled to identify scenarios and timelines for the reunification of the Korean Peninsula. These have ranged from a rapid decline and disintegration . . .

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12. Assessing Interests and Objectives of Major Actors in the Korean Drama / Nicholas Eberstadt and Richard J. Ellings

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pp. 315-342

In this concluding chapter, we focus on "national interests" of the major state actors in today's unfinished Korean drama, some of the possible strategies by which they might attempt to advance their respective positions in . . .

About the Editors and Contributors

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pp. 343-347


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pp. 349-361

E-ISBN-13: 9780295801278
E-ISBN-10: 0295801271
Print-ISBN-13: 9780295981291
Print-ISBN-10: 0295981296

Publication Year: 2012

Research Areas


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Subject Headings

  • East Asia -- Politics and government.
  • Korea (North) -- Politics and government.
  • Korea (South) -- Economic policy.
  • Korean reunification question (1945- ).
  • World politics -- 1945-1989.
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