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Contents Acknowledgments ix Abbreviations xi 1 / The Significance of the 1996 Crisis 3 2/ Taiwan's "Drifting Away" 13 3 / Taiwan's "Pragmatic Diplomacy" 27 4/ Beijing's Objections to U.S. Policy 35 5 I The Taiwan Issue in Chinese Domestic Politics 47 6/ The U.s. Visa Decision and Beijing's Reaction 67 7/ Beijing's Probing of U.S. Intentions 74 8/ The December Legislative Yuan Elections 89 9 I The Confrontation 96 vii viII Contents 10 I Were China's Leaders Surprised by U.S. Intervention? 111 111 PRC Strategy 118 121 Nuclear Coercion with Chinese Characteristics 127 13 I The International Effect of the Crisis 134 14/ Appraising the Gains and Costs of Belling's Coercive ExercIses 148 15 I Conclusions 157 Notes 167 Bibliography 181 Index 188 ...

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