European Elections and Domestic Politics: Lessons from the Past and Scenarios for the Future

Subject Index

Subject Index abstention. See electoral participation accountability, 4–5, 91 act meaning vs action meaning, 150 agenda setting, 136 agenda-setting effects, 132, 133 Austria, 19, 21, 24, 46, 79, 86, 90, 103, 110, 122, 143 Belgium, 20, 33, 34, 36, 39, 46, 57, 82, 97, 110, 120, 122 blame. See credit and blame Britain, 16, 18, 24, 25, 73, 97, 100, 110, 122, 125 campaign coverage. See TV news coding procedures for media content, 119, 277–82 commercial TV channels, 143 compulsory voting, 14, 15, 20–21, 145, 267 concurrent national and European elections, 145 conflict potential of EU-orientations, 196–97 consonance of media supply, 134, 135, 136 constitutional treaty, 6, 257 contagion between countries, 245, 260 context effects on media behavior, 126–29 context effects on voter behavior, 131, 141 counterfactual, 32–33. See also scenario credit and blame, 258 —attribution of, 235 Cyprus, 1, 115 Czech Republic, 1 democracy. See accountability; legitimacy; representation democratic deficit, 246 Denmark, 16, 18, 19, 24, 37, 39, 43, 73, 79, 90, 97, 105, 122 effects of electoral context: of timing. See electoral cycle effects of media context, 131, 135, 140, 141 effects of party context —of party polarization, 133 —on potential for electoral change, 216, 219 —presence of anti-EU party, 237 election outcomes, 286 —and EU-support, 244, 245 —parties’ vote shares, 269–70 —potential for change, 210 —turnout, 13–31 —turnout, first-time boost, 267 —turnout effects, 39–48 317 election outcomes (cont.) —turnout in European Parliament elections 2004, 266–69 elections: second-order national elections, 220, 221 electoral change, 209–10 —measuring potential for, 210 —over-all change (Pedersen index), 37, 242, 260 —potential for, 209–10 —quasi-switching, 32–48 —vote switching, 60–68 electoral cohort. See voter characteristics, cohort electoral competition: extent of, 223 electoral cycle —consequences for campaign coverage, 118, 128, 230–32 —consequences for government support, 51–71, 230–32 —consequences for strategic voter considerations, 45, 225, 245 —consequences for turnout, 15, 17–18, 21, 25, 27, 230–32, 267 electoral participation, 66, 67 —competing interpretations, 148–51, 161–64 —correlates of, 151, 154 —Euro-skeptic non-voting, 146, 161–62 —motives for, 146, 148 electoral utilities, 159, 171, 210, 222, 270 electoral volatility. See electoral change; potential for electoral change Estonia, 1 EU enlargement, 1–3. See also new member states EU institutions, 257 —constitutional treaty, 230 European Commission, 230 European Council, 230 Eurobarometer, 98, 119 Euromanifesto data, 8, 75–77 Euromanifestos. See party manifestos European attitudes. See voter attitudes, EU-support European Commission, 6, 28, 124 European Council, 6, 7, 28, 128 European Election Studies, 7, 35, 61, 74, 77, 100, 135, 193, 271, 273–75 European elections and domestic politics, 4–6, 17–18, 32–33, 52–54, 168–70, 183, 191, 209, 221, 222, 225, 230, 245 Euro-skeptic parties, 48, 119, 259, 264–65, 269–71 Euro-skepticism among voters. See voter attitudes, EU-support Finland, 19, 21, 24, 46, 49, 79, 86, 97, 114, 122 first-time election boost, 15, 16–17, 25 Flanders, 97, 100, 105 food safety scandal, 120 framing. See news frames France, 39, 79, 97, 103, 112, 122 generation. See voter characteristics, cohort Germany, 36, 79, 82, 97, 100, 103, 122, 125 Great Britain. See Britain Greece, 1, 2, 13, 16, 19, 20, 39, 79, 95, 100, 103, 114, 122 Hungary, 1 ideological voting, 176–77 information cost and rational choice, 258 Ireland, 2, 39, 46, 79, 97, 103, 122, 143 issues. See political issues Italy, 20, 39, 57, 97, 100, 105, 122, 125 Kosovo war, 120, 122, 129, 263 318 Subject Index Latvia, 1 legitimacy, 4–5, 95, 129, 147, 245 length of EU-membership, 79, 97, 100, 109 Lithuania, 1 Luxembourg, 8, 18, 20, 33, 34, 36, 39, 46, 52, 57, 61, 95, 97, 110 Malta, 1, 115 measuring potential for electoral change, 222 media data, 8, 119, 277–82 midterm elections. See electoral cycle Netherlands, 26, 28, 42, 43, 57, 79, 97, 103, 112, 122 new member states, 1, 26, 111, 115 new political parties, 209, 234, 235, 259 news frames, 118, 125, 263–64 non-voting. See electoral participation Northern Ireland, 49 party choice —determinants of, 175–80, 203–4 —EU-support, 169, 176 —ideological voting, 181 —modeling party choice, 170–73, 177–78 party size, 181, 187 party manifestos, 73–91, 283–84 party positions —on European integration, 44, 73–91, 133, 197–202, 216, 264...