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Showing how “chaos candidate” Donald Trump scored critical victories in Florida in an election cycle that defied conventional political wisdom, this volume offers surprising insights into the 2016 Republican primary and presidential election. Using historical and current election results, campaign spending numbers, United States Census data, and individual surveys, contributors examine how Trump handily won the primary over state favorites Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio. They find that Trump won the small but crucial rural and suburban counties ignored by the Clinton campaign; that early voting was less decisive than had been assumed; that immigration was not the driving issue for the majority of Hispanic voters as analysts originally believed; and that African American voter turnout was down significantly from 2012 despite the racially divisive nature of Trump’s campaign. Essays also include a breakdown of how the unpredictable voting patterns in Central Florida’s I-4 corridor often determine which candidate takes the state. Florida’s clout should not be dismissed. The state awards more electoral votes than most, and its victor has gone on to claim the presidency in the last six elections. This volume forecasts the future of the most politically volatile state in the union and reveals emerging trends in the national political landscape.

Table of Contents

  1. Cover
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  1. Title Page, Copyright
  2. pp. i-iv
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  1. Contents
  2. pp. v-vi
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  1. List of Figures
  2. pp. vii-viii
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  1. List of Tables
  2. pp. ix-x
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  1. Acknowledgments
  2. pp. xi-xii
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  1. Introduction
  2. Matthew T. Corrigan, Michael Binder
  3. pp. 1-4
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  1. The Importance of Florida in Presidential Elections
  2. Aubrey Jewett
  3. pp. 5-31
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  1. Trump Beats Florida’s Favorite Sons
  2. Matthew T. Corrigan, Dario Moreno, Ray Anthony Lastre
  3. pp. 32-48
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  1. Trump Territory
  2. Seth C. Mckee, Daniel A. Smith
  3. pp. 49-75
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  1. The I-4 Corridor: The Sunshine State’s Premier Battleground
  2. Susan A. Macmanus, David J. Bonanza, Anthony A. Cilluffo
  3. pp. 76-108
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  1. The Hispanic Vote in Florida 2016
  2. Michael Binder, Peter Licari
  3. pp. 109-133
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  1. Early Bird Special: Convenience Voting in Florida’s 2016 General Election
  2. Daniel A. Smith, Dillon Boatner, Caitlin Ostroff, Pedro Otálora, Laura Uribe
  3. pp. 134-153
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  1. Rigged? Assessing Election Administration in Florida’s 2016 General Election
  2. Daniel A. Smith, Brian Amos, Carl Klarner, Daniel Maxwell, Thessalia Merivaki, Tyler Richards
  3. pp. 154-174
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  1. Conclusion
  2. Matthew T. Corrigan, Michael Binder
  3. pp. 175-178
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  1. List of Contributors
  2. pp. 179-180
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  1. Index
  2. pp. 181-190
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Additional Information

ISBN
9780813057040
Related ISBN
9780813056234
MARC Record
OCLC
1087503043
Pages
202
Launched on MUSE
2019-02-25
Language
English
Open Access
No
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