In this Book
- Minding the Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think
- Book
- 2017
- Published by: The MIT Press
summary
This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
Table of Contents
Download Full Book
- About the Authors
- pp. ix-x
- Acknowledgments
- pp. xiii-xiv
- 1 Introduction
- pp. 1-26
- 6 What Characterizes Expertise?
- pp. 129-150
- 11 Can a Machine Imitate the Human?
- pp. 287-304
- 12 Can a Machine Replace the Human?
- pp. 305-336
- 13 Forecaster–Computer Interdependence
- pp. 337-348
- 14 Conclusions and Prospects
- pp. 349-360
- Appendix A: List of Acronyms
- pp. 361-364
- References
- pp. 409-462
Additional Information
ISBN
9780262339407
Related ISBN(s)
9780262036061
MARC Record
OCLC
1000300069
Pages
488
Launched on MUSE
2017-08-16
Language
English
Open Access
No