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summary

The days of rapid economic growth in China are over. Mounting debt and rising internal distortions mean that rebalancing is inevitable. Beijing has no choice but to take significant steps to restructure its economy. The only question is how to proceed.

Michael Pettis debunks the lingering bullish expectations for China's economic rise and details Beijing's options. The urgent task of shifting toward greater domestic consumption will come with political costs, but Beijing must increase household income and reduce its reliance on investment to avoid a fall.

Table of Contents

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  1. Front Cover
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  1. Title Page, Copyright Page
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  1. Table of Contents
  2. pp. v-vi
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  1. Foreword
  2. Douglas H. Paal
  3. pp. vii-viii
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  1. 1. The Limits of the Chinese Growth Model
  2. pp. 1-20
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  1. 2. China's Domestic Imbalances
  2. pp. 21-44
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  1. 3. Is Overinvestment a Problem?
  2. pp. 45-60
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  1. 4. Monetary Policy under Financial Repression
  2. pp. 61-76
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  1. 5. How Will China Rebalance?
  2. pp. 77-98
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  1. 6. The Mechanics of Rebalancing
  2. pp. 99-118
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  1. 7. How to be a China Bull
  2. pp. 119-144
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  1. 8. What Happens if China Revalues the Renminbi?
  2. pp. 145-150
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  1. Index
  2. pp. 151-158
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  1. About the Author, Series Page, Back Cover
  2. pp. 159-162
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