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Changing Texas

Implications of Addressing or Ignoring the Texas Challenge

Steve H. Murdock

Publication Year: 2014

Drawing on nearly thirty years of prior analyses of growth, aging, and diversity in Texas populations and households, the authors of Changing Texas: Implications of Addressing or Ignoring the Texas Challenge examine key issues related to future Texas population change and its socioeconomic implications. Current interpretation of data indicates that, in the absence of any change in the socioeconomic conditions associated with the demographic characteristics of the fastest growing populations, Texas will become poorer and less competitive in the future. However, the authors delineate how such a future can be altered so that the “Texas Challenge” becomes a Texas advantage, leading to a more prosperous future for all Texans.

Presenting extensive data and projections for the period through 2050, Changing Texas permits an educated preview of Texas at the middle of the twenty-first century. Discussing in detail the implications of population-related change and examining how the state could alter those outcomes through public policy, Changing Texas offers important insights for the implications of Texas’ changing demographics for educational infrastructure, income and poverty, unemployment, healthcare needs, business activity, public funding, and many other topics important to the state, its leaders, and its people. Perhaps most importantly, Changing Texas shows how objective information, appropriately analyzed, can inform governmental and private-sector policies that will have important implications for the future of Texas.

Published by: Texas A&M University Press


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Title Page, Copyright Page

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pp. i-vi


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pp. vii-x

List of Figures

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pp. xi-xii

List of Tables

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pp. xiii-xxviii

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pp. xxix-xxxii

In the early 1990s a set of researchers in the Department of Rural Sociology at Texas A&M University began to monitor and project the growth of the population of Texas. This group led by Steve Murdock and including Patricia Bramwell, Darrell Fannin, Rita Hamm, Nazrul Hoque, Beverly...

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pp. xxxiii-xxxvi

We express our gratitude to those who assisted us in a variety of ways in the completion of this work. We wish to thank the Meadows Foundation and the Greater Texas Foundation for their financial support. In particular, Mr. Bruce Esterline and Mr. Mike McCoy from the Meadows Foundation and...

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Chapter1: Introduction: The Conceptual and Empirical Basis for the Work

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pp. 1-16

Texans have a deep affection for their state believing, like people from many other states, that it is unique and superior in many ways to all others. Texans, however, have a particularly strong belief in the uniqueness of the state because of its heritage as a separate nation and the fact that parts...

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Chapter 2: Recent and Projected Population Change in Texas

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pp. 17-28

Texas has experienced rapid, continuous, and substantial population growth since 1850, the first time in which it was included as a state in the decennial census. It had only 212,592 people (Table 2.1). In fact, in every decade since becoming part of the United States, Texas has shown a higher...

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Chapter 3: Recent and Projected Household Change in Texas

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pp. 29-44

Texas households, like Texas’ population, have shown patterns of substantial change in recent decades. In this chapter we examine both recent patterns of change and projected patterns of future change in the number of Texas households. For both periods the change in the number and characteristics...

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Chapter 4: Effects of Demographic Change on the Size, Race /Ethnicity, and Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Texas Labor Force

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pp. 45-66

Among the most critical elements shaping the future of Texas are the characteristics of its labor force. In this chapter we examine recent trends in the growth of the Texas labor force and the implications of the state’s changing demographics for the size and characteristics of the future labor force...

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Chapter 5: Effects of Demographic Change on Selected Economic Factors Impacting the Private and Public Sectors of Texas

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pp. 67-106

The characteristics of populations impact the private sector. The number and characteristics of populations affect the income and other economic resources of populations. Populations with larger proportions of adults in their most productive middle ages generally have greater economic resources...

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Chapter 6: Public Elementary, Secondary,and Higher Education

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pp. 107-132

Texas has experienced substantial change in education over the past several decades. This change was driven in part by a rapidly growing and changing population but also by numerous other factors. For example, legal issues related to the Hopwood decision (Hopwood v. Texas 21 F.3d 603 [5th...

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Chapter 7: Health, Human, and Correctional Services in Texas

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pp. 133-172

Critical to the creation of a productive population and workforce necessary to forge a prosperous future are a variety of health and human services and the rehabilitation of Texans who become incarcerated. In this chapter, we examine health services provided largely by the private sector, publicly...

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Chapter8: The Effects of Demographic Change on Selected Transportation Services and Demand

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pp. 173-196

In this chapter we analyze the effects of projected patterns of population and household change on transportation related services. We do not explore the effects of population change on all transportation modes, but focus primarily on the forms of personal transportation used on a daily basis...

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Chapter 9: Conclusions and Implications for the Future of Texas

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pp. 197-234

This work has examined the demographic future of Texas and the socioeconomic implications of that future. It evaluated the implications of demographic change for households, housing, the labor force, and economic and private sector development in Texas. It has also examined the effects of...


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pp. 235-250


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pp. 251-256

Back Cover

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E-ISBN-13: 9781623491666
E-ISBN-10: 1623491665
Print-ISBN-13: 9781623491598

Page Count: 288
Publication Year: 2014

OCLC Number: 877908045
MUSE Marc Record: Download for Changing Texas

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Subject Headings

  • Population forecasting -- Texas.
  • Social change -- Texas.
  • Economic forecasting -- Texas.
  • Education -- Texas -- Forecasting.
  • Texas -- Population.
  • Texas -- Social conditions -- 21st century.
  • Texas -- Economic conditions -- 21st century.
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