Cover

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pp. 1-3

Title Page, Copyright

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pp. 4-5

Contents

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pp. v-vi

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Preface

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pp. vii-viii

This nineteenth annual edition of Regional Outlook continues the tradition of the series in reviewing the political and economic trends likely to inform developments in Southeast Asia in the near-term future. With its brief and accessible, but rigorous and well-informed, analyses of the region, it is a unique resource for readers interested in ASEAN ...

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Introduction

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pp. ix-xvi

It has grown common in recent decades to hear veteran journalists in Southeast Asia bemoan their editors’ nearly exclusive interest in economic stories. These veterans chafe at the past quarter-century’s focus on the region’s successful economies, impressive rates of growth and maturing financial markets. ...

Political Outlook

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Southeast Asia’s Security and Political Outlook

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pp. 3-19

The increasing frequency with which natural disasters have recently struck Southeast Asia — in 2009 earthquakes and tropical storms resulted in thousands of deaths and in severe displacement in Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and other parts of the region — has sharpened ASEAN’s focus on non-traditional security (NTS) challenges. ...

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The ASEAN-10

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pp. 20-62

As the most stable, predictable and wealthy of the Southeast Asian states, Brunei Darussalam is in no hurry to change the status quo. This generalization applies to the governmental apparatus as well as the peoples’ attitudes. The next few years will see continuity in present policies and processes, ...

Economic Outlook

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Regional Economic Outlook

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pp. 65-96

Southeast Asia has been at the mercy of the global financial and economic crisis, generated from the United States and United Kingdom, for the most of 2009. While it was not directly hit by the liquidity crunch, it did get affected by the collapse of demand for Southeast Asia’s exports. ...

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The ASEAN-10

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pp. 97-170

Brunei Darussalam’s economic growth prospects in 2010 and 2011 will be slightly better than that in 2009. In 2009, real GDP is expected to grow by only 0.2 per cent. This is because of the global slowdown and lower energy prices. ...

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The Contributors

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pp. 171-173

Patricio Abinales is Professor in the Division of Economics and Political Dynamics of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies, Kyoto University. He contributed the country section on the Philippines. ...